22 Brokerages Assign Progressive Hold Rating with $260.74 Average Price Target
The Progressive Corporation has received an average “Hold” rating from 22 brokerages, comprising two “Sell”, twelve “Hold”, seven “Buy” and one “Strong Buy” recommendation, with a consensus 12-month price target of $260.74. Morgan Stanley reiterated an underweight rating, Citigroup lowered its target to $300.60 and Barclays upgraded to overweight with a $265 objective.
1. Consensus Broker Ratings
Twenty-two brokerages currently cover Progressive, assigning an average recommendation of Hold. Two analysts recommend Sell, twelve recommend Hold, seven recommend Buy and one recommends Strong Buy. Over the past year, analysts’ 12-month target stands at approximately 260.7, reflecting a narrow range of opinions and signaling moderate confidence in near-term share performance.
2. Insider Transactions
During the last quarter, CFO John P. Sauerland sold 5,000 shares, trimming his position by 2.19%, while another executive disposed of 1,344 shares, representing a 4.85% reduction. Together, insiders offloaded 9,034 shares valued at roughly 2.05 million dollars. Insider ownership remains low at 0.34% of outstanding stock, suggesting minimal alignment with shareholders but limited risk of major insider-driven volatility.
3. Institutional Ownership Shifts
Institutional investors hold 85.34% of Progressive’s shares. In Q4, Brighton Jones LLC increased its stake by 15.6% to 3,392 shares, while Revolve Wealth Partners initiated a position valued at 269,000 dollars. Bison Wealth added 80 shares for a 3.2% boost, and HBW Advisory Services and TrueWealth Advisors grew their holdings by 37.5% and 14.5%, respectively. These shifts indicate selective accumulation among smaller managers despite mixed market outlooks.
4. Recent Financial Results and Dividend Policy
In Q3, Progressive reported EPS of 4.45, falling short of consensus by 0.59, and generated revenue of 21.38 billion, below estimates by 0.26 billion. The combined ratio stood at 89.5%, marking an underwriting profit. Net premiums written rose 13% year-over-year to 63.7 billion, and policies in force increased 12% to 38.1 million. The company declared a regular quarterly dividend of 0.10 per share and has historically paid special dividends—13.50 last quarter and 4.50 in the prior year—underscoring management’s commitment to shareholder returns.