Adobe Beats Q4 EPS by $0.10 as AI-Driven ARR Hits One-Third of Revenue
Adobe reported Q4 revenue of $6.19B and EPS of $5.50, topping estimates by $0.10, with AI-driven ARR now nearly a third of subscription revenue and generative credit consumption tripling sequentially. Management forecast FY26 revenue growth up to 9.8% and non-GAAP EPS growth of 12.3%, highlighting demand for AI-enhanced products.
1. Major Stake Reduction by E. Ohman J. or Asset Management AB
During the third quarter, E. Ohman J. or Asset Management AB sold 63,644 shares of Adobe, reducing its position by 77.9%. Post-transaction, the fund held 18,014 shares valued at $6.35 million based on its latest SEC filing. This divestiture represents one of the largest single-quarter reductions among institutional holders, contributing to a decline in the fund’s exposure to Adobe from roughly $28 million at the end of Q2 to $6.35 million heading into Q4. Institutional ownership of Adobe remains high at 81.79%.
2. Analyst Price Target Adjustments and Ratings Distribution
In recent weeks, five major brokerages updated their outlook on Adobe. Mizuho lowered its target from $410 to $390 and maintained an outperform rating, Jefferies trimmed its target from $590 to $500 with a buy rating, UBS held firm at $487 with a neutral stance, Weiss Ratings reiterated a hold (c) assessment, and Redburn set a $280 objective. Among 29 analysts covering the stock, one recommends Strong Buy, 14 recommend Buy, 11 assign Hold and three advise Sell, resulting in an average consensus target of $417.93.
3. Q4 Earnings Beat and AI-Driven Growth
In its fourth-quarter results, Adobe reported revenue of $6.19 billion, up 10.5% year-over-year, and non-GAAP earnings per share of $5.50, beating consensus by $0.10. Net margin reached 30.0%, and return on equity stood at 61.28%. Management highlighted that AI-first annual recurring revenue now accounts for nearly one-third of total ARR, with generative credit consumption tripling quarter-over-quarter and Firefly adoption accelerating. Guidance for the upcoming fiscal year targets EPS between 23.30 and 23.50 and first-quarter EPS between 5.85 and 5.90.