Adobe Tops Q4 Estimates with 10.5% Revenue Growth to $6.19B
Adobe beat fiscal Q4 estimates with EPS of $5.50 vs $5.40 consensus and delivered 10.5% revenue growth to $6.19 billion, then guided Q1 EPS to $5.85-5.90 and FY26 EPS to $23.30-23.50. Analysts hold a consensus rating with a $402.85 average target after price objectives were cut to $425 and $450.
1. Analyst Consensus and Price Targets
Twenty-eight brokerages covering Adobe have assigned a consensus rating of Hold, with eleven Buy recommendations, twelve Holds, four Sells and one Strong Buy. The average one-year target across all analysts stands at approximately $403 per share. Notable revisions include Morgan Stanley trimming its objective from $450 to $425 while maintaining an Equal Weight stance, and Stifel Nicolaus reducing its target from $480 to $450 alongside a Buy rating. UBS remains the most optimistic with a $487 objective, reflecting divergent views on Adobe’s near-term growth trajectory and valuation.
2. Q4 and Full-Year 2025 Financial Performance
In its December quarter, Adobe reported revenue of $6.19 billion, exceeding consensus by $80 million and representing a 10.5% year-over-year increase. Non-GAAP earnings per share of $5.50 topped estimates by $0.10, driving a net margin of 30% and return on equity of 61.3%. Subscription revenue, which comprises over 90% of total sales, grew double digits across Creative Cloud and Document Cloud segments. For fiscal 2026, management issued guidance of $5.85–$5.90 EPS in Q1 and full-year EPS of $23.30–$23.50, signaling expectations for continued double-digit annual recurring revenue expansion despite planned increases in R&D and go-to-market investments.
3. Institutional Activity and Insider Transactions
Hedge funds and institutional investors hold roughly 82% of Adobe’s shares. In Q3, Norges Bank initiated a new position valued at about $2.03 billion, while Arrowstreet Capital added nearly 1.95 million shares, bringing its stake to over 5.6 million shares. Dodge & Cox increased its holdings tenfold, acquiring 1.57 million additional shares. Conversely, First National Advisers reduced its position by 73.8%, selling 8,524 shares. On the insider front, CAO Jillian Forusz sold 149 shares in late October, a 4.17% stake reduction, leaving her with 3,426 shares. These transactions illustrate ongoing portfolio rebalancing by both institutional and company insiders.