Norges Bank Initiates $2.03B Adobe Stake, Arrowstreet Boosts Holdings 53.3%

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Adobe earns a consensus Hold rating from 28 analysts with an average 12-month price target of $402.85; Morgan Stanley cut its target from $450 to $425. Norges Bank initiated a $2.03 billion Adobe stake in Q2, while Arrowstreet Capital boosted its holdings by 53.3% to 5.62 million shares.

1. Analyst Consensus and Rating Updates

Adobe has received a consensus rating of Hold from 28 brokerages, with 4 issuing Sell recommendations, 12 Hold, 11 Buy and 1 Strong Buy. The average one-year target among these firms stands at $402.85. In recent weeks, Morgan Stanley trimmed its target from $450 to $425 and maintained an Equal Weight rating; Stifel Nicolaus cut its target from $480 to $450 while affirming a Buy rating; UBS set a new target of $487; Cowen reiterated its Hold rating; and Weiss Ratings reaffirmed its Hold (C-) view.

2. Insider and Institutional Activity

Chief Accounting Officer Jillian Forusz sold 149 shares at an average of $337.88 for proceeds of $50,344, reducing her holding to 3,426 shares valued at approximately $1,157,576.88. Insiders now own 0.16% of the company. On the institutional side, Norges Bank initiated a $2.03 billion stake in Q2; Arrowstreet Capital boosted its position by 53.3% to 5.62 million shares valued at $1.98 billion; Dodge & Cox increased by 8,006.6% to 1.59 million shares ($562.1 million); AQR Capital Management grew by 55.2% to 2.59 million shares ($912.7 million); and Franklin Resources lifted its stake by 68.9% to 1.94 million shares ($750.2 million). Institutional investors now control 81.79% of the float.

3. Q4 Results and 2026 Guidance

In Q4, Adobe delivered EPS of $5.50, beating the consensus of $5.40 by $0.10, and generated revenue of $6.19 billion versus estimates of $6.11 billion, marking 10.5% year-over-year top-line growth. The company reported a net margin of 30.0% and a return on equity of 61.28%. For Q1 2026, management forecasts EPS between $5.85 and $5.90, with full-year 2026 EPS guidance of $23.30 to $23.50. Analysts currently expect 2026 EPS of $16.65. At quarter-end, Adobe’s leverage ratios included a current ratio of 1.00, quick ratio of 1.02 and debt-to-equity of 0.53, while valuation metrics featured a P/E of 17.72, PEG of 1.17 and a beta of 1.53.

Sources

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