Brokerages Set $148.86 Average Target as Truist, Susquehanna and Morgan Stanley Raise Price Goals

AERAER

Eleven brokerages covering AerCap assign an average 'Moderate Buy' rating, with one sell, two hold and eight buy recommendations and an average 1-year target price of $148.86. Truist initiated buy coverage with a $159 target, Susquehanna raised its target to $157 and Morgan Stanley lifted its objective to $150.

1. Analyst Ratings and Price Targets

Aercap Holdings N.V. has received a consensus recommendation of “Moderate Buy” from 11 brokerages currently covering the stock. Of those, eight have issued buy recommendations, two have assigned hold ratings and one has a sell rating. Over the past year analysts have set an average 12-month target price of $148.86. Notable recent actions include Truist Financial initiating coverage with a buy rating and a $159.00 target, Susquehanna raising its objective from $134.00 to $157.00 with a positive view, and Morgan Stanley increasing its target from $120.00 to $150.00 while maintaining equal-weight status.

2. Institutional Activity and Ownership

Hedge funds and other institutional investors control 96.42% of Aercap’s shares. In the third quarter Mizuho Markets Cayman LP expanded its position by 45,615.5%, ending the period with 3,510,491 shares valued at approximately $424.8 million. Alyeska Investment Group L.P. boosted its stake by 642.7% to hold 1,111,552 shares worth $134.5 million, while Norges Bank and Mawer Investment Management each initiated new positions in Aercap valued at $241.4 million and $181.4 million, respectively. Ninety One UK Ltd increased its holdings by 44.8% to 2,794,925 shares, representing $327.0 million.

3. Recent Financial Performance and Guidance

In the third quarter Aercap reported earnings per share of $4.97, surpassing consensus estimates by $1.81, on revenue of $2.31 billion which outpaced forecasts by $310 million and represented an 18.5% year-over-year increase. The company delivered a net margin of 45.41% and a return on equity of 15.16%. For fiscal 2025 management has issued EPS guidance of 13.70, while analysts expect full-year EPS of 11.29.

4. Dividend Update

Aercap declared a quarterly dividend of $0.27 per share, paid on December 4 to shareholders of record as of November 12. This distribution annualizes to $1.08 per share, implying a yield of 0.8% and a payout ratio of approximately 5.12%.

Sources

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