AI, Renewable Energy Demand and Supply Bottlenecks Propel Silver Rally

SILSIL

Structural demand from AI data centers, semiconductor manufacturing and renewables has driven a sharp silver price surge with weakened US dollar support. Persistent supply constraints from bottlenecks and export restrictions could widen price gaps, enhancing silver miners’ potential profitability.

1. BCA’s Ibrahim Warns SIL is Extremely Overbought and Cautions Against Chasing Prices

In a recent report, BCA Research strategist Resul Mehrotra Ibrahim highlighted that the iShares MSCI Global Silver Miners ETF (SIL) has reached technical extremes not seen in over four years. Over the past six weeks, SIL has surged by more than 25%, pushing its relative strength index to above 80 on a daily chart—levels that historically have preceded 5–10% retracements within two to three weeks. Ibrahim noted that institutional inflows into SIL accelerated sharply in mid-January, with net purchases of nearly 50 million USD over a ten-day span, accounting for nearly 30% of total AUM growth during that period. He warns that, given tight near-term supply from major silver miners and a lack of fresh fundamental catalysts, investors chasing the rally may face heightened downside risk as momentum indicators begin to roll over.

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