Albemarle Q4 EPS Loss Widens 54% as Revenues Rise Nearly 10%

ALBALB

Analysts project Albemarle will report a Q4 loss of $0.50 per share, a 54.1% year-over-year decline, on revenues of $1.35 billion, up 9.6%. Energy Storage net sales are forecast at $716.9 million (+16.2%) with adjusted EBITDA of $159.7 million versus $133.7 million a year ago.

1. EPS and Revenue Estimates

Albemarle is forecast to report Q4 EPS of -$0.50, marking a 54.1% decline versus the year-earlier quarter, on revenues of $1.35 billion, reflecting 9.6% growth year over year. Analysts note that consensus EPS estimates have been revised 396.4% higher over the past 30 days, indicating shifting market expectations ahead of the release.

2. Segment Net Sales Forecasts

Wall Street predicts net sales for the Energy Storage segment of $716.89 million (a 16.2% increase), Ketjen at $296.35 million (up 5.1%), and Specialties at $348.66 million (up 4.7%) compared to Q4 last year. The Energy Storage division remains the primary growth driver, supported by ongoing demand in battery materials.

3. Adjusted EBITDA Projections

Adjusted EBITDA for Energy Storage is expected at $159.67 million, up from $133.68 million in the prior-year period. Specialties EBITDA is forecast at $52.12 million versus $72.88 million a year ago, while Ketjen’s adjusted EBITDA is seen at $35.01 million, roughly in line with the prior year’s $35.78 million.

4. Analyst Revisions and Market Implications

The marked upward revision in EPS estimates over the last month underscores analysts’ evolving view of Albemarle’s cost structure and segment performance. Given the strong correlation between estimate trends and short-term stock moves, investors will closely monitor whether actual results align with these heightened forecasts.

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