Alpha Cubed Cuts McDonald’s Stake 4% as Norges Bank Opens $2.78B Position

MCDMCD

Alpha Cubed cut its McDonald’s stake 4% to 76,253 shares ($23.17M) in Q3, while Vanguard (+1.3%), State Street (+0.8%) and Geode (+1.7%) added positions and Norges Bank opened a $2.78B stake. Truist and KeyCorp raised price targets to $356 and $340.

1. Franchise Model Bolsters Resilience

McDonald’s continues to lean heavily on its franchise model, with over 93% of its 40,000 global restaurants operated by independent franchisees. This structure helped the company deliver consistent systemwide sales growth of 4.8% in the latest fiscal year, and franchise fee revenue climbed 6.2% to $4.5 billion. Management attributes stable cash flows and a 60% contribution margin on franchised revenues to the model’s ability to weather input-cost pressures and shifting consumer preferences in the casual‐dining sector.

2. Big Arch Burger Could Drive New Revenue Stream

Following successful launches in select European markets, McDonald’s is preparing to introduce its 1,057-calorie Big Arch burger in the U.S. by mid-year. Internal estimates project that the product could generate incremental annual sales of $500 million to $1 billion, based on average unit volumes achieved abroad. The company plans a targeted marketing campaign across digital channels, leveraging data from its loyalty platform, which already counts more than 50 million active members in North America.

3. Institutional Investors Trim and Build Positions

Alpha Cubed Investments LLC reduced its stake by 4.0% in the third quarter, selling 3,177 shares and ending with 76,253 shares valued at approximately $23.2 million. Vanguard Group increased its holding by 1.3%, adding 921,936 shares to reach 71.3 million shares, while State Street Corp and Geode Capital Management raised their positions by 0.8% and 1.7%, respectively. Notably, Norges Bank initiated a new position worth roughly $2.8 billion. Overall institutional ownership stands at 70.3%, underscoring broad confidence among large investors despite selective profit-taking.

4. Insider Sales Highlight Caution at the Top

Corporate insiders have sold a total of 45,142 shares over the past 90 days, representing proceeds of $13.8 million. EVP Manuel J. Steijaert reduced his holding by 74.0% in early November, and President Joseph M. Erlinger lowered his stake by 34.4% mid-month. These transactions follow a period of limited insider buying and may signal management’s preference to diversify personal portfolios after a sustained run of margin expansion and share repurchases.

Sources

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