Alphabet Plans $175–185B AI CapEx as Gene Munster Sees Breakthrough Within 12 Months

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Deepwater's Gene Munster says artificial intelligence is in its second inning and predicts meaningful utility within six to 12 months, pushing markets to reevaluate Big Tech timelines. Alphabet has earmarked $175–185 billion in 2026 capital expenditures for AI infrastructure, contributing to a 7.06% share decline.

1. Munster's AI Timeline

Deepwater Asset Management's Gene Munster now believes AI is in its second inning, forecasting meaningful real-world utility within six to 12 months as investors reassess long-term adoption timelines.

2. Alphabet's 2026 CapEx Plan

Alphabet has budgeted $175–185 billion in capital expenditures for 2026, driven primarily by AI inference infrastructure to support large-scale deployment of real-time applications.

3. Share Performance Impact

Alphabet Class A shares have declined 7.06% over the past five trading days, reflecting concerns over heavy capex commitments and uncertain near-term returns on AI investments.

4. Future Spending and ROI

Guidance suggests elevated capex could persist for five to 10 years as inference workloads scale, with potential for substantial long-term returns once AI utility breakthroughs materialize.

Sources

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