Alphabet’s Gemini AI Surpasses 21% Share, Selected by Apple’s Siri
Gemini market share jumped from 5% to 18% in 2025 and recently topped 21%, narrowing the gap with ChatGPT’s 68% share. Apple’s selection of Gemini to power Siri underscores Alphabet’s strengthening AI positioning, which could bolster its cloud revenue and advertising margins.
1. Investor Michael Burry Joins Critique of Alphabet’s AI Investments
Renowned investor Michael Burry has publicly aligned with recent criticism of large language models, echoing concerns that output from systems like Alphabet’s Gemini may be unreliable and unable to replicate human creativity. Burry warns that major technology firms, including Alphabet, have poured tens of billions into AI infrastructure—data centers, custom chips and networking equipment—that risk becoming stranded assets if expected revenue growth fails to materialize. He has repeatedly cautioned of an impending AI bubble, highlighting what he describes as “suspicious accounting practices” in some AI companies and noting that speculative infrastructure spending could lead to severe writedowns. Burry has also taken a sizeable short position in Nvidia, which he calls the purest play on AI infrastructure, underscoring his skepticism about the returns these capital-intensive investments will deliver.
2. Alphabet Touted as Best Quantum Computing Stock for Next Five Years
In a recent analysis of the quantum computing sector, Alphabet has been named the most attractive long-term pure-play, based on its decades-long R&D commitment and balance-sheet strength. The company’s proprietary Willow quantum processor has demonstrated error rates that fall exponentially as qubit counts rise, and last quarter it ran a verifiable algorithm that outperformed the world’s top classical systems on a key benchmark. Alphabet’s established advertising and cloud segments—responsible for over 80% of its current revenue—provide the financial stability needed to underwrite ongoing quantum research, while forward multiples near 29 times projected 2026 earnings offer what analysts describe as an “attractive entry point” for patient investors.
3. Gemini’s Rapid Market Share Surge and Implications for Alphabet
Industry data show Alphabet’s AI chatbot Gemini increased its global usage share from roughly 5% at the start of 2025 to over 21% by year-end, more than tripling its penetration in just 12 months. This shift has been driven in part by the November rollout of Gemini 3 and a landmark partnership to power Apple’s voice assistant. The trend threatens to disrupt OpenAI’s virtual monopoly, raising questions about planned infrastructure investments by both public and private AI ventures. Should Gemini continue its trajectory, OpenAI may face funding shortfalls that could cascade across the AI ecosystem—potentially benefiting rival cloud providers and chip vendors in which Alphabet holds strategic positions.
4. Bill Ackman’s Pershing Square Makes Alphabet a Core Holding
Hedge-fund legend Bill Ackman currently allocates just over 10% of his flagship fund to Alphabet, underscoring confidence in its competitive advantages. Ackman points to the company’s dual engines—its digital-ad platform, which commands over 90% share in search advertising, and its cloud business, which logged a record $155 billion backlog heading into 2026—as the primary drivers of future growth. He also cites Alphabet’s rapid adoption of AI-powered features in both search results and enterprise services, arguing that these innovations will sustain annual revenue growth above 15% even as broad market valuations compress.