Amazon Earnings-Based DCF Values Shares at $209.04, Free Cash Flow DCF at $8.79

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Amazon’s earnings-based DCF intrinsic value is $209.04 per share, implying a margin of safety of –0.46%. The free cash flow DCF model values shares at $8.79, indicating significant overvaluation with a –2289.08% margin of safety.

1. Earnings-Based DCF Analysis

Amazon’s earnings-based discounted cash flow model uses EPS without NRI of $6.08, a 10% discount rate and assumes a 47.3% annual growth rate over 10 years followed by a 4% terminal growth rate, resulting in an intrinsic value of $209.04 per share and a margin of safety of –0.46%.

2. Free Cash Flow DCF Analysis

The traditional DCF model based on trailing twelve-month free cash flow per share produces an intrinsic value of $8.79, implying the shares are overvalued by a margin of safety of –2289.08%.

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