Amazon Shares Rally 25% on AI Wins Despite $200B 2026 Capex Plan

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Amazon shares surged 25% in the past month driven by AI infrastructure wins including a $100B ten-year Anthropic commitment and AWS Graviton5 chip deal with Meta, while Amazon's custom chip revenue run rate tops $20B. The stock trades at a P/E of 37 as management plans $200B in capital expenditures for 2026, prompting some analysts to maintain a 'hold' rating.

1. AI Infrastructure Deals Boost Revenue

Amazon secured a ten-year, $100 billion commitment from Anthropic and expanded its AWS Graviton5 chip deployment with Meta, while its in-house chip division achieved a run rate exceeding $20 billion in annual revenue.

2. Stock Performance Surges

Shares climbed over 25% in the past month, reflecting investor enthusiasm for Amazon's AI infrastructure leadership and long-term growth potential in cloud and custom silicon.

3. Valuation and Capex Outlook

Management outlined plans for $200 billion in capital expenditures for 2026 as the stock trades at a P/E ratio of 37, leading analysts to issue 'hold' recommendations citing valuation concerns.

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