American Airlines Short Interest Drops 17.1% to 51.8M Shares, Analysts Raise Targets
Short interest in American Airlines fell 17.1% to 51.85 million shares as of December 15, with a 0.9-day ratio and 7.9% of shares sold short. UBS and Citigroup issued buy ratings with $20 and $19 targets, while Susquehanna lifted its target to $12, setting a consensus target of $16.46.
1. Significant Decline in Short Interest
American Airlines Group saw short interest fall to 51,847,312 shares as of December 15, a 17.1% drop from 62,558,573 shares on November 30. This reduction brought the short-interest ratio to just 0.9 days based on an average daily trading volume of 58,278,273 shares. Currently, 7.9% of the company’s outstanding shares are sold short, marking a notable shift in investor sentiment toward reduced bearish bets heading into 2026.
2. Diverse Analyst Opinions and Consensus Targets
Throughout late 2025, Cowen reaffirmed a buy rating, Susquehanna lifted its price objective from $10.00 to $12.00 with a neutral stance, Citigroup initiated coverage with a buy and a $19.00 target, UBS assigned a buy rating with a $20.00 target, and Weiss maintained a sell (d+) rating. Among 19 analysts tracked by MarketBeat, one rates the stock strong buy, eight rate it buy, eight maintain hold, and two recommend sell. The consensus price objective stands at $16.46, reflecting a balanced outlook within the research community.
3. Q3 Performance Surpasses Estimates and Forward Guidance
In the quarter ended September 30, American Airlines reported adjusted earnings per share of –$0.17, beating consensus estimates of –$0.27 by $0.10. Revenue reached $13.69 billion, edging past forecasts of $13.65 billion and marking a 0.3% year-over-year increase. Return on equity remained negative at 18.14%, while net margin improved to 1.11%. Management set fourth-quarter EPS guidance between $0.45 and $0.75 and full-year 2025 guidance between $0.65 and $0.95, while analysts project full-year EPS of $2.42 based on current trends.
4. Institutional Positioning Signals Growing Confidence
In the third quarter, a number of hedge funds and institutional investors adjusted their holdings. Notable moves include UMB Bank n.a. increasing its stake by 845.1% to 3,251 shares and Ameriflex Group boosting its position by 71.2% to 4,160 shares. Smaller purchases by Root Financial Partners and Guerra Advisors added roughly $30,000 and $37,000 in new positions, respectively. Overall, institutions now own 52.44% of American Airlines Group, underscoring growing confidence among professional investors.