American Express Shares Fall 7% on 10% Interest Cap Proposal

AXPAXP

American Express shares fell almost 7% after President Trump proposed a 10% cap on credit card interest rates, prompting concerns the company may cut rewards or raise fees. Through January–September 2025, American Express revenue rose 9% to $53.2 billion, underscoring robust growth but potential margin pressure.

1. AXP Share Reaction to Proposed 10% Cap

American Express shares tumbled nearly 7% over two trading sessions following President Trump’s proposal to cap credit card interest rates at 10%. Trading volumes spiked by 45% compared with the 30-day daily average, as institutional investors rebalanced portfolios to reflect heightened regulatory risk. The stock’s decline outpaced the broader financial sector, where peer credit card issuers fell on average 4%.

2. Revenue and Profit Trends Reinforce Sensitivity

Through the first nine months of 2025, American Express reported revenue of $53.2 billion, up 9% year-over-year, driven by a 12% increase in average spend per cardholder and a 7% rise in new account openings. Net income of $8.4 billion rose 5%, underpinned by stable card member lending balances and disciplined expense management. Analysts note that a 10% interest-rate ceiling could erode the company’s net interest margin, currently near 11%, and force repricing of premium products that command higher yields.

3. Management Strategy and Investor Outlook

AXP management has engaged with federal officials to explore voluntary credit-access programs similar to the administration’s so-called 'Trump card' initiative, aiming to preserve lending to consumers in the sub-prime and near-prime segments. CEO Stephen J. Squeri emphasized on the recent earnings call that the company would adapt pricing structures—potentially by raising annual fees on high-end products—to offset any regulatory squeeze on interest income. Investors now await the outcome of White House–bank negotiations, with some strategists estimating a regulatory resolution by March could trigger a 10% rebound in the stock.

Sources

F2WRY
+1 more