Amphenol Guides Q4 EPS to $0.89–$0.91 with up to 41% Revenue Growth
Amphenol is scheduled to release Q4 2025 results on January 28, expecting EPS of $0.93 and revenue of $6.22 billion. Management forecasts EPS of $0.89–$0.91 (62%–65% growth) and revenues of $6.0–$6.1 billion (39%–41% YoY), with orders having risen 38% in Q3.
1. Solid Q4 Results with Healthy Year-Over-Year Gains
Amphenol reported fourth-quarter revenue of $6.44 billion, a 50% increase versus the prior year, driven by exceptional organic growth in IT datacom and contributions from strategic acquisitions completed in 2025. Adjusted EPS rose 76% year-over-year, supported by an adjusted operating margin of 27.5%, up from 24.8% in the year-ago quarter. The Trexon and CCS acquisitions added roughly $900 million in revenue and $0.02 to adjusted diluted EPS in the period.
2. Modest Beat on Consensus Estimates Leaves Investors Wanting More
Although Amphenol surpassed consensus expectations for both sales and EPS, the beat was narrower than in prior quarters—revenue ahead by about 2% and EPS by roughly 3%. This relative slowdown from the prior quarter’s 4% revenue beat and 6% EPS beat suggests that high growth may be tempering, prompting some investors to reassess near-term upside potential despite robust underlying fundamentals.
3. Q1 Guidance Signals Sequential EPS Decline
For the first quarter, management guided to sales of $6.90 billion to $7.00 billion—a 44% year-over-year increase—but implied adjusted EPS of $0.91 to $0.93, down 5% from the fourth quarter’s $0.98. While the year-over-year outlook remains strong, the sequential earnings decline highlights potential cyclical softness in end markets such as mobile devices and industrial applications following the datacom-driven Q4 surge.
4. Capital Returns and Acquisition Strategy Underscore Long-Term Growth Focus
In 2025, Amphenol returned nearly $1.5 billion to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends, repurchasing 1.3 million shares for $171 million in Q4 alone. The company completed five acquisitions last year, bolstering its position in high-growth segments. The recent closure of the CommScope CCS business is expected to contribute $4.1 billion in 2026 sales and approximately $0.15 to adjusted EPS, reinforcing management’s commitment to diversified, technology-driven expansion.