Analysts Urge $26–51B in Nvidia Buybacks as Nuclear AI Deal Advances
Bank of America analysts argue Nvidia could boost dividend yield to 0.5–1%, requiring $26–51 billion (15–30% of projected 2026 free cash flow) to close a 50% P/E and 30% FCF valuation gap with peers. Nvidia also teamed with Oklo and Los Alamos to accelerate nuclear reactor design, while CoreWeave, Nebius and Applied Digital have outperformed Nvidia shares by up to 80% this year.
1. Shareholder Return Proposal
Bank of America analysts highlight Nvidia’s near-zero dividend yield of 0.02% as a barrier to income‐oriented investors and point to a 50% P/E discount versus Magnificent Seven peers on 2026 estimates. They calculate that lifting yield to 0.5–1% would cost $26–51 billion, or 15–30% of projected 2026 free cash flow, and could narrow a 30% free cash flow valuation gap.
2. Nuclear AI Collaboration
Nvidia has entered a collaboration with Oklo and Los Alamos National Laboratory to apply its AI simulation tools to nuclear reactor design validation. The partnership aims to speed fuel research and reactor prototyping to relieve the energy constraints facing large AI data centers, although Oklo remains pre–revenue with multiyear regulatory milestones ahead.
3. Rising AI Infrastructure Competitors
Smaller AI infrastructure firms CoreWeave, Nebius and Applied Digital have delivered 65%, 80% and 37% gains respectively this year, compared with more modest Nvidia returns. These companies emphasize rapid growth projections and specialized data-center services but carry higher execution risk given their lack of current profitability.
4. Alphabet’s AI Infrastructure Spending
Alphabet has raised its capital expenditure outlook to $180–190 billion for 2026, with further increases planned for 2027, signaling robust demand for AI chips and data-center hardware. Nvidia stands to benefit from this spending surge as a leading supplier of GPUs and AI accelerators for large-scale infrastructure deployments.