Apple Loses Preferred TSMC Status as Nvidia Overtakes, Eyes Intel 18A

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Apple’s preferential chip supply at TSMC is waning as Nvidia has become TSMC’s top customer, forcing Apple to compete for capacity and face higher pricing. The company is reportedly evaluating Intel’s 18A node for 15-20 million M-series chips and Intel 14A for future iPhone chips, marking a potential strategic sourcing shift.

1. Executive Succession Signal in Hardware Chief’s Expanded Role

Apple has elevated its hardware engineering leader, John Ternus, by adding product design oversight to his responsibilities, solidifying his position as a top candidate to succeed CEO Tim Cook. The move follows nearly a decade in which Ternus led the development of flagship products, including the iPhone 17 and the latest Mac series. Insiders note that incorporating design into his remit brings together two traditionally separate units—mechanical and industrial design—under one leader, a structure Cook himself followed when he assumed the top role. This consolidation is viewed by governance experts as a clear signal to investors that Apple is methodically preparing its next CEO from within, reducing uncertainty about the company’s long-term strategic continuity.

2. Technical Indicators Show Extreme Oversold Conditions

Apple shares have plunged nearly 15% from record highs in the past month, driven by broader market volatility and geopolitical tensions. The stock’s 14-day Relative Strength Index has fallen to 18—its lowest level since September 2008—indicating an extreme oversold condition rarely seen for a company of Apple’s scale. With earnings due next week, analysts highlight that Apple has beaten consensus revenue and earnings estimates in 23 of the last 24 quarters. Historical patterns suggest that when the RSI dips below 20 and the company delivers at least a modest beat on both top-line and bottom-line figures, a multi-week rebound often follows.

3. China Market Share Surges Without AI Product Launch

In the fourth quarter of 2025, Apple captured a 21.8% share of China’s smartphone shipments, representing a 28% year-over-year increase according to Counterpoint Research. This gain outpaced local competitors Huawei and Vivo, whose shares declined by 13.7% and 12.9%, respectively. Remarkably, Apple achieved this growth without a native artificial-intelligence-driven device, relying instead on strong demand for the iPhone 17 Pro and larger-storage base models. Counterpoint analysts attribute the outperformance to an accelerated supply ramp in China and favorable consumer response to new camera designs and storage configurations offered at unchanged price points.

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