Apple Tops China’s Smartphone Market; Wedbush Lifts Price Target to $350

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Apple reclaimed the top spot in China’s smartphone market during the holiday quarter with a sharp rebound in iPhone shipments despite industry-wide memory chip shortages. Wedbush analyst Dan Ives lifted his price target to $350, citing strong iPhone 17 adoption and the Google Gemini deal underpinning a Siri upgrade as catalysts.

1. Apple Reclaims Top Spot in China With iPhone 17 Surge

During the December quarter, Apple overtook its competitors to become the leading smartphone vendor in mainland China, driven by a 24% year-over-year increase in iPhone shipments. Strong demand for the iPhone 17 series more than offset industry-wide delays caused by a deepening memory-chip shortage. Local Channel Checks Inc. estimated that Apple shipped 22 million units in China during the period, up from 17.7 million a year earlier, restoring its leadership position after several quarters of underperformance against domestic rivals.

2. Path to a $5 Trillion Market Cap Hinges on AI and Services

Analysts at Wedbush and others forecast that Apple’s market capitalization, currently around $3.8 trillion, must grow by approximately 32% to reach the $5 trillion milestone by 2026. Key drivers include the recently announced partnership to integrate Google’s Gemini large-language model into Siri, a services upgrade expected to boost annual recurring revenue across 2.4 billion active iOS devices. Wedbush’s Dan Ives raised his 12-month price target to $350, citing AI-powered Siri enhancements, sustained iPhone demand in China, and expanding services margins as the foundation for this next leg of growth.

3. Fiscal 2025 Financials Highlight Robust Profitability and Cash Reserves

In the year ended September 27, 2025, Apple reported record revenues of $416 billion and net income of $112 billion, reflecting 8% top-line growth and a 27% net margin. The company closed the period with $54.7 billion in unrestricted cash and equivalents, supporting ongoing investments in manufacturing and R&D. iPhone sales accounted for half of total revenue, with wearables and services contributing an additional 35%. Management reiterated guidance for the March quarter to deliver its strongest December-to-March growth ever, driven by holiday iPhone upgrades and accelerating adoption of emerging products.

4. Institutional Portfolio Movements Signal Continued Confidence

In the third quarter, Global Financial Private Client LLC trimmed its Apple stake by 22.5%, selling 14,783 shares but maintaining Apple as its second-largest position at 4.6% of assets under management, valued at $13 million. Meanwhile, Financial Consulate Inc. initiated a new holding of 78,624 shares, allocating 2.8% of its portfolio to the company. Overall, 67.7% of Apple’s float remains held by institutional investors, underscoring the stock’s role as a core mega-cap technology holding despite near-term market volatility.

Sources

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