Applied Digital Eyes 40% Q2 Revenue Growth from $11B CoreWeave Lease Expansion
Analysts expect Applied Digital to report Q2 revenue of $89.76M, a 40% year-over-year increase driven by AI data center ramps and CoreWeave’s 400 MW lease expansion valued at ~$11 billion, alongside a $0.10 per-share loss. Management will highlight the ChronoScale spinoff timeline and new Macquarie loan facility supporting future AI campus development.
1. Analysts Forecast Robust Top-Line Expansion
For Q2 2026, Wall Street consensus projects Applied Digital to generate $89.76 million in revenue, representing more than 40% year-over-year growth from $63.87 million in Q2 2025. This acceleration is attributed primarily to the ramp-up of the Polaris Forge 1 campus in North Dakota and increased tenant fit-out services for AI workloads. Although the company is still expected to report a net loss of $0.10 per share—wider than the $0.06 loss in the year-ago quarter—management highlights improving operating leverage as its large fixed-cost infrastructure begins to deliver recurring cash flows.
2. CoreWeave Lease Expansion Drives Long-Term Revenue Visibility
A pivotal development for investors is CoreWeave’s exercise of its option to expand its lease at the Ellendale campus to a full 400 megawatts, boosting the total contract value to approximately $11 billion over 15 years. Any update on the commissioning schedule for these additional megawatts—currently anticipated in late 2025 to early 2026—will directly influence the timing of incremental lease revenue. The accelerated deployment of power and cooling capacity at this site underpins Applied Digital’s strategic positioning as a leading AI data center landlord.
3. Strategic Spinoff and Capital Structure Considerations
Last week’s announcement to spin off the ChronoScale cloud business—merging it with Ekso Bionics to create a standalone AI-optimized GPU cloud platform—marks a deliberate shift to concentrate on ‘AI Factory’ hyperscale data centers. Investors will be tracking the timetable for transaction completion and the financial pro forma impacts on both entities. Concurrently, the company has secured a development loan facility with Macquarie Group to underwrite the construction of future Polaris Forge campuses, making commentary on financing terms, interest rates, and potential additional capital raises a key focus in management’s earnings call.