AT&T Shares Climb Over 5% on Upbeat EPS Guidance and Major Acquisitions

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AT&T projected 2026 adjusted EPS of $2.25–$2.35, above the $2.23 consensus, and forecast free cash flow of $18 billion in 2026 rising to $21 billion by 2028. Shares rose over 5% after management underscored strategic $6 billion Lumen fiber and $23 billion EchoStar spectrum deals driving network capacity expansion and revenue growth.

1. Rating Upgrade Reflects Resilient Financial Performance

Analysts at several major brokerage firms raised AT&T’s rating to Buy after the company delivered fourth-quarter adjusted earnings per share of $0.52, up 21% from $0.43 a year earlier, and revenue of $33.5 billion, a 3.7% year-over-year increase that exceeded consensus forecasts. While Mobility net additions were modest and Consumer Wireline subscriber growth underwhelmed management’s internal targets, AT&T’s ability to sustain margin expansion and deliver free cash flow of $4.2 billion in the quarter convinced analysts that current valuation levels understate the durability of cash generation across its wireless and fiber businesses.

2. Aggressive Capital Allocation Underscores Shareholder Commitment

In 2025 AT&T returned over $12 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases, representing more than 8% of free cash flow for the year. Management reaffirmed its plan to distribute at least $45 billion to investors between 2026 and 2028, comprising nearly $17 billion in dividends and $28 billion in buybacks. The company also authorized an incremental $8 billion repurchase program for calendar 2026, signaling confidence in cash-flow sustainability despite ongoing investments in network densification.

3. Strategic Investments and Debt Reduction Support Long-Term Growth

Capital expenditures reached $7.1 billion in the fourth quarter and totaled $22.0 billion for full-year 2025, funding accelerated deployment of fiber to 32 million homes and expansion of 5G coverage to more than 280 million POPs. At the same time, AT&T reduced its consolidated debt by $5.3 billion during the year, lowering net leverage to 2.7x adjusted EBITDA. Management highlighted upcoming spectrum and fiber assets acquisitions—subject to customary closing conditions—as catalysts for mid-single-digit service revenue growth and double-digit EPS CAGR through 2028.

Sources

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