Average $353 Price Target for American Express as JPMorgan Cuts to $375

AXPAXP

American Express holds a consensus 'Hold' rating from 25 brokerages (1 sell, 15 hold and 9 buy), with an average 1-year target of $353.05. JPMorgan cut its objective from $385 to $375, Goldman Sachs reaffirmed a buy rating with a $420 target and Barclays raised its target to $367.

1. Consensus Rating and Recent Analyst Updates

MarketBeat Ratings reports that twenty‐five brokerages currently cover American Express, assigning a consensus recommendation of Hold. Of these, one analyst favors a Sell stance, fifteen recommend holding, and nine advocate buying the stock. In recent weeks, JPMorgan Chase & Co. revised its view to Neutral after lowering its price objective, while Wolfe Research initiated coverage with a Peer Perform rating. Goldman Sachs reaffirmed its Buy rating in early January, and Barclays upgraded its stance to Equal Weight. UBS Group maintained a Neutral recommendation in its most recent note.

2. Q4 2025 Earnings Performance and FY2026 Guidance

In its latest quarter, American Express reported earnings per share of $3.53, narrowly missing consensus estimates by one cent. Total revenue grew 10.5% year-over-year to $17.139 billion, slightly below the analyst consensus of $18.91 billion. The company achieved a net margin of 15.0% and delivered a return on equity of 33.5%. For full‐year 2026, management has guided to EPS in the range of $17.30 to $17.90, compared with analysts’ expectations of $15.33 per share for the current fiscal year.

3. Liquidity, Leverage and Profitability Metrics

American Express maintains solid liquidity with a quick ratio of 1.66 and a current ratio of 1.68. Its debt‐to‐equity ratio stands at 1.68, reflecting moderate leverage for the financial services industry. The firm’s price‐to‐earnings multiple is 23.0, supported by a PEG ratio of 1.49 and a beta of 1.14, indicating balanced growth expectations and market volatility relative to peers. Institutional investors hold over 84% of outstanding shares, underscoring confidence among hedge funds and large asset managers.

4. Dividend Policy and Shareholder Returns

The board declared a quarterly dividend of $0.82 per share, to be paid on February 10th to shareholders of record as of January 2nd. This equates to an annualized payout of $3.28 per share and a dividend yield near 0.9%. With a dividend payout ratio of 21.31%, the company retains significant earnings for reinvestment while returning capital to investors.

Sources

FFWD