Block Raises FY2025 Guidance Twice and Posts $6.12B Q3 Revenue
Block raised FY2025 guidance twice and set 2028 targets forecasting double-digit growth and improved leverage, implying upside to a $158.80 long-term price target. Q3 revenue rose 2.33% to $6.12 billion with subscription services up 23% and transactions up 9%, as Cash App network expansion and Neighborhoods initiatives boost profitability.
1. Ambitious 2028 Growth Targets and Valuation
Block’s management has reiterated its goal of sustaining double-digit revenue growth through 2028 while driving improved operating leverage across its core Seller and Cash App ecosystems. Earlier this year, the company raised its full-year 2025 revenue guidance twice, reflecting stronger-than-expected adoption of AI-powered checkout tools and digital lending features. At a forward P/E of 28.9x and a three-year PEG ratio of 0.80x, the shares trade at an attractive multiple relative to peers, offering investors more than twice the upside potential based on current consensus forecasts. Key growth drivers include new demographic segments targeted by Cash App’s referral campaigns, expanded seller loyalty programs, and cross-selling of point-of-sale analytics to larger merchant accounts.
2. Network Expansion, Neighborhoods and Margin Improvement
In the third quarter of fiscal 2025, Block reported revenue growth of 2.33% year-over-year to $6.12 billion, with subscription and services revenue up 23% and transaction-based revenue up 9%, which more than offset weakness in bitcoin trading. Cash App’s ongoing network expansion initiative added over three million funded accounts in the quarter, while the Neighborhoods feature—designed to connect local businesses with nearby consumers—drove a 15% increase in repeat merchant engagement. Block’s automation investments across its processing centers are expected to trim operating expenses by up to 150 basis points over the next year, supporting margin expansion and helping the company leverage scale as it rolls out new hardware and software bundles to enterprise sellers.