Boeing forecasts China’s commercial aircraft fleet to more than double by 2045
BA•Boeing forecasts China’s commercial aircraft fleet will exceed 9,800 by 2045 as passenger traffic grows 5% annually. It projects 9,240 deliveries from 2026 to 2045 and $875 billion in airline spending on digital services, maintenance and training.
1. Fleet and delivery outlook
Boeing forecasts China’s commercial aircraft fleet will more than double to over 9,800 aircraft by 2045, with passenger traffic growing 5% annually. It projects 9,240 new aircraft deliveries from 2026 to 2045, including 7,215 single-aisle and 1,460 widebody aircraft; 42% of deliveries will replace older models.
2. Spending and workforce
Chinese airlines are expected to invest $875 billion in digital services, maintenance and training over the next 20 years. The aviation sector will require 425,000 new pilots, technicians and cabin crew by 2045.
