Brazil's Lula gains ground on Flavio Bolsonaro ahead of presidential vote, poll shows
EWZ•Lula widens lead in runoff scenario
SAO PAULO, July 15 (Reuters) - Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva has widened his lead over right-wing Senator Flavio Bolsonaro in the run-up to October's presidential election, a Quaest poll commissioned by brokerage Genial showed on Wednesday.
It is the first Quaest survey following a series of political developments including a corruption investigation targeting a senior Lula ally and arguments about accountability over new U.S. tariff threats against Brazil.
Poll results and first-round scenario
- Leftist Lula is seen with 45% of voting intentions in a potential second-round runoff, compared with 37% for Senator Bolsonaro, currently the main opposition hopeful.
- A Quaest poll in June showed Lula leading Flavio Bolsonaro by 44% to 38%.
- In a first-round scenario, Lula would take 40%, Bolsonaro 28%, Ronaldo Caiado 4%, Renan Santos 3% and Romeu Zema 2%.
- In Brazil, if no candidate gets more than 50% of valid votes, the two frontrunners go to a second-round vote.
- Quaest surveyed 2,004 people between July 10 and 13. The poll has a margin of error of two percentage points in either direction.




