Capricorn Reduces PayPal Holdings by 34.9%, Norges Bank Launches $921.6M Stake

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Capricorn Fund Managers cut its PayPal stake by 34.9% in Q3, offloading 19,375 shares to hold 36,067 shares valued at $2.419M. Meanwhile, Norges Bank initiated a $921.6M position and Artisan Partners and Invesco boosted holdings to 11.99M ($891.2M) and 10.04M ($746.1M) shares respectively.

1. Institutional Holdings Overhaul

In the third quarter, Capricorn Fund Managers Ltd trimmed its stake in PayPal by 34.9%, disposing of 19,375 shares and ending the period with 36,067 shares valued at approximately $2.42 million. This shift contrasts with significant inflows from other major institutions: Norges Bank initiated a position worth about $921.6 million in Q2; Artisan Partners increased its holdings by 1.6% to nearly 12.0 million shares, representing $891.2 million; Invesco added 522,514 shares for a 5.5% boost to 10.0 million shares valued at $746.1 million; UBS AM acquired an extra 213,355 shares in Q1 for a 2.8% uptick to 7.85 million shares worth $512.1 million; and Primecap Management expanded by 9.5% to hold 6.54 million shares, totaling $486.2 million. Overall, institutional ownership stands at 68.32%.

2. Insider Sales Activity

Executive vice presidents Diego Scotti and Aaron Webster have both reduced their positions in recent filings. On October 30, Scotti sold 3,838 shares for a total of $264,706.86, a move that cut his holdings by 18.43% to 16,989 shares valued at roughly $1.17 million. On November 10, Webster offloaded 9,282 shares for $615,303.78, a 20.64% reduction, leaving him with 35,699 shares worth about $2.37 million. Cumulatively, insiders have sold 36,156 shares over the last 90 days, totaling $2.43 million, representing 0.08% of total shares outstanding.

3. Quarterly Earnings and Forward Guidance

In its most recent report, PayPal delivered adjusted EPS of $1.34, topping consensus estimates by $0.14, on revenue of $8.42 billion versus forecasts of $8.21 billion. Year-over-year revenue growth was 7.3%, while return on equity reached 25.64% and net margin stood at 14.96%. The company set Q4 EPS guidance at a range of $1.270 to $1.310 and full-year 2025 EPS guidance between $5.350 and $5.390. Analysts currently model full-year EPS of $5.03, reflecting confidence in sustained profitability and margin expansion.

4. Dividend Policy and Analyst Consensus

PayPal declared a quarterly dividend of $0.14 per share, paid to holders of record as of November 19, translating to a $0.56 annualized payout and a yield of approximately 0.9%. The dividend payout ratio remains modest at 11.22%. On the broker front, 14 analysts rate the stock as a buy, 22 as a hold and 4 as a sell, yielding an average consensus rating of "Hold" with a consensus target implying upside potential based on current earnings multiples.

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