Celestica Sees 6.1% Share Drop After Q4 EPS Beat and $3.49B Outlook

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Celestica delivered record Q4 EPS of $1.89, topping the $1.74 consensus and up from $1.11 a year ago, and issued 2026 guidance projecting EPS of $1.73 and $3.49 billion revenue. Shares tumbled $18.83 (6.08%) after Digitimes reported Google may transfer Tensor assembly work, underscoring its 54.97x P/E.

1. Record Fourth-Quarter Results Tempered by After-Hours Sell-Off

Celestica reported Q4 adjusted earnings of $1.89 per share, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.74 and up from $1.11 a year ago. Revenues for the quarter reached $3.72 billion, a record high driven by robust demand in its communications and cloud segment. Despite the beat, shares declined 6.1% in after-hours trading, reflecting investor concern over profit margins slipping by 120 basis points year-over-year to 6.8%.

2. 2026 Outlook Revised Lower on Customer Mix Risks

Management updated its 2026 guidance to forecast full-year revenues of $14.8 billion–$15.2 billion and adjusted earnings per share of $7.20–$7.60, down from prior midpoints of $15.4 billion and $7.85 per share. The revision factors in potential shifts of high-margin assembly work for hyperscale AI servers, after a Digitimes report indicated that Google may reassign Tensor Processing Unit assembly to alternative suppliers. This news coincided with a one-day share price drop of $18.83, or 6.08%, on January 22.

3. Premium Valuation Reflects Growth Expectations Amid Legal Scrutiny

Celestica trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 54.97 and a price-to-sales ratio of 3.41, signaling strong investor willingness to pay for anticipated AI infrastructure growth. Its enterprise-value-to-sales ratio of 3.46 also ranks in the top quartile of the electronics manufacturing services industry. The company maintains a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.45 and a current ratio of 1.47, underscoring healthy liquidity. However, Pomerantz LLP has launched a securities fraud investigation into whether Celestica adequately disclosed customer concentration risks, adding a layer of legal uncertainty even as analysts at three major brokerages recently upgraded the stock to a Buy rating.

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