Chevron Price Target Raised to $206 as Oil Jumps $10 on Middle East Tensions

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Chevron shares have climbed roughly 24% year-to-date after oil jumped over $10 per barrel due to Middle East tensions. Bank of America raised its price target to $206 from $188, citing a durable geopolitical risk premium and projecting free cash flow of $16.50 per share by 2027.

1. Oil Price Surge

Oil prices surged more than $10 per barrel since early February as the conflict in the Middle East disrupted tanker movements through the Strait of Hormuz and hit refining infrastructure, tightening global supply and reviving a risk premium last seen in 2022.

2. Chevron Stock Performance

Chevron shares have responded strongly to the commodity rally, rising roughly 24% year-to-date and touching a one-year high of $191.44 on March 2, with average daily trading volume exceeding 4.5 million shares.

3. Bank of America Upgrade

Bank of America raised its Chevron price target to $206 from $188, citing a durable geopolitical risk premium, underpriced affiliate cash flows and a modeled Brent oil floor at $100, forecasting free cash flow of $16.50 per share by 2027.

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