Oracle Upgraded to Buy as Cloud Revenues Surge 34% and RPOs Reach $523B

ORCLORCL

Oracle's cloud revenues surged 34% YoY with Oracle Cloud Infrastructure up 68%, while Remaining Performance Obligations soared 438% to $523 billion, prompting an upgrade to Buy as valuations reach multiyear lows. Rising funding costs and high leverage represent risks, but robust demand and positive Q3 guidance support the bullish outlook.

1. Legendary Investor Michael Burry Establishes Significant Short Position

On January 10, 2026, Michael Burry’s Scion Asset Management disclosed in a Form 13F filing that it had built a put-option position against Oracle Corporation valued at approximately $150 million, representing nearly 4% of the fund’s total equity exposure. Burry, famed for his 2008 housing-market wager, cited what he described as “excessive valuation multiples relative to organic growth rates” and growing competitive pressure in the cloud infrastructure space. His move marks one of the largest targeted bearish bets on a major enterprise software company since 2019, and comes just weeks after Oracle reported a 68% year-over-year increase in Oracle Cloud Infrastructure revenues and a record $523 billion in remaining performance obligations, up 438% year over year.

2. Oracle Unveils AI-Driven Retail Supply Chain Collaboration Platform

At NRF 2026 in New York (January 11–13), Oracle launched its Retail Supply Chain Collaboration solution built on Oracle Cloud. Integrated with the Retail Merchandising Foundation Cloud Service, the new platform offers real-time forecasting alerts, automated supplier notifications and AI digital-assistant capabilities scheduled for Q2 2026. In pilot deployments with three global retailers, Oracle reported a 22% reduction in forecast error rates and a 15% improvement in on-time purchase-order acknowledgements. The unified portal enables retailers to exchange sustainability certifications, quality audits and compliance data directly with suppliers, aiming to cut supplier onboarding time by 30% and improve merchandise planning accuracy by up to 18%.

3. Analyst Upgrades Oracle to Buy on Multiyear Valuation Lows

In a January 12 research note, a leading buy-side analyst upgraded Oracle shares to Buy, highlighting that the company’s trailing cloud-subscription growth rate of 34% still outpaces the broader enterprise software sector. The report emphasizes Oracle’s strong cash flow generation—free cash flow rose by 27% in the latest fiscal year—and points to record deferred revenue levels as a buffer against rising financing costs. While acknowledging higher leverage on the balance sheet, the analyst forecasts mid-teens earnings per share growth through fiscal 2028, driven by continued expansion in its Autonomous Database and cloud-infrastructure offerings. The note sets a 12-month price target implying 25% upside based on a conservative 10× multiple on forward free cash flow.

Sources

SBPG