Coinbase Buy Rating Upgraded on Stock Trading Expansion and 15x EBITDA Valuation

COINCOIN

Seeking Alpha upgraded Coinbase to a buy rating after its expansion into stock trading, valuing the company at approximately 15x EBITDA. The report highlights that growing trading volumes in stocks, options, and crypto could diversify revenue and support future earnings growth.

1. Regulatory Clarity Bill Poised to Reshape Coinbase Operations

This week, Senate Agriculture and Banking Committees will hold parallel hearings on a comprehensive digital-asset market structure bill that could profoundly affect Coinbase’s U.S. business. Known as the Clarity Act, the legislation seeks to delineate the Securities and Exchange Commission’s and Commodities Futures Trading Commission’s jurisdiction over crypto products, establish uniform registration standards for brokerages and exchanges, and create distinct token classifications. For Coinbase, which reported processing an average daily trading volume of $9.7 billion in Q4 2025, clearly defined guardrails could lower compliance costs—currently estimated at more than $150 million annually—and reduce legal uncertainty that has slowed its product launches. The final merged draft is expected on the Senate floor by March, setting the stage for definitive rules that may enable Coinbase to expand services to institutional clients and accelerate its roadmap for new token listings.

2. Expansion into Equity Trading Justifies 15x EBITDA Valuation

Coinbase’s recent foray into U.S. stock trading marks a strategic pivot designed to diversify revenue beyond crypto trading fees, which comprised 72% of total revenue in FY 2025. Leveraging its existing user base of 108 million verified accounts, the exchange launched commission-free stock trading in January, attracting roughly 1.3 million users during its first quarter. Analyst Gary Alexander, who covers fintech on Wall Street, upgraded Coinbase to a ‘Buy’ rating after forecasting that equity trading could contribute $120 million in annualized revenue by year-end. At an implied enterprise multiple of around 15x EBITDA—down from peer averages near 18x—Coinbase’s valuation appears supported by its low marginal customer acquisition cost of $22 per new user and recurring subscription fees from its Coinbase One membership program. Investors will watch February earnings to gauge organic uptake of the new service and its impact on overall profitability.

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