Costco Achieves 6-Year Same-Store Sales Growth and Plans 28 New Warehouses
Costco’s same-store sales grew six straight years through FY2025, while Q1 FY2026 membership fees totaled $1.3 billion with renewal rates of 92.2% in North America and 89.7% globally. The company will add 28 net new warehouses in FY2026, aiming for over 30 openings annually, with half in the U.S.
1. Membership-Driven Revenue and Growth Metrics
Costco generated more than $5.0 billion in annual membership fee revenue most recently, providing a high-margin, recurring income stream that represented roughly 2% of its total net sales. In the first quarter of fiscal 2026 (ended November 23, 2025), membership fee revenue reached $1.3 billion. Over the past 15 years, Costco’s share price has compounded at an average annual rate of 20%, accelerating to 23% over the past five years, reflecting consistent same-store sales growth and high customer loyalty. Membership renewal rates stood at 92.2% in the U.S. and Canada and 89.7% globally, underscoring strong engagement despite a small drop from the prior quarter driven by digital sign-ups.
2. Valuation and Recent Share Performance
Shares of the company have traded within a one-year range of $844 to $1,078, with a 12-month decline of 1.4% from their peak. The forward price-to-earnings ratio sits at approximately 47, above its five-year average of 41, suggesting elevated valuation. Institutional investors hold over two-thirds of the float, including Vanguard Group’s 43.4 million shares and Barlow Wealth Partners’ stake of 34,452 shares (3.6% of that fund’s assets), reflecting continued confidence among large asset managers despite the premium multiple.
3. Gold Bar Sales Initiative
Since launching gold bar sales in 2023, Costco has averaged $200 million in monthly volume, totaling an estimated $2.4 billion for 2025. The product carries a roughly 2% markup over spot gold, in line with industry norms. Between late January 2025 and January 2026, gold prices rallied 92% from $2,763 to $5,269 per ounce. A customer purchasing at an average cost of $2,818 per ounce would realize an embedded profit of approximately $2,451 per ounce at current market levels, nearly matching the $2,506 profit achievable by buying at spot.
4. Legal Risks and Shareholder Returns
Costco faces a class-action lawsuit in San Diego federal court alleging its Kirkland rotisserie chickens are advertised as preservative-free despite containing sodium phosphate and carrageenan. On the shareholder returns front, the company declared a quarterly dividend of $1.30 per share payable February 13, 2026, to holders of record as of January 30. Owners of 100 shares will receive $130, and if the current pace continues, full-year dividends would amount to $5.20 per share. The forward payout ratio is about 23.4%, supporting potential future dividend increases, although the forward yield of 0.54% remains below the 1.89% sector average.