Costco gas discount drives store traffic as $150 oil could push pump prices above $5

COSTCOST

Oil at $150 per barrel could push U.S. gasoline prices above $5 per gallon if supply disruptions persist beyond the Strait of Hormuz. Costco’s gas stations offer roughly a $0.20 per gallon discount versus the $3.47 national average and convert about 50% of fueling members into in-store shoppers.

1. Potential Pump Price Surge

Discussions suggest that a sustained rise to $150 per barrel due to Strait of Hormuz disruptions could drive U.S. pump prices north of $4.50 or even $5 per gallon, reflecting the global nature of oil markets despite limited U.S. reliance on Middle Eastern flows.

2. Costco's Gas Discount Model

Costco undercuts the national average gas price by roughly $0.20 per gallon, selling fuel around $3.27 when the AAA average sits near $3.47, and members may travel up to half a mile to benefit from these savings.

3. Traffic Conversion and Incremental Sales

Approximately 50% of members who purchase fuel at Costco proceed to shop in-store, generating incremental sales; this model is also deployed by BJ’s Wholesale, Sam’s Club, and is being tested by Dollar General’s limited fuel locations.

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