Costco Q2 EPS Beats Estimates, Revenue Rises 8.3%; Institutions Up Stakes

COSTCOST

Costco reported fiscal second-quarter EPS of $4.34, beating estimates by $0.07, on revenue of $67.31 billion, up 8.3% year-over-year. Vanguard and Barlow Wealth Partners raised holdings by 1.7% and 2.2% respectively, while insiders sold 9,315 shares valued at $8.55 million over the last 90 days.

1. Strong Balance Sheet and Cash Generation

Costco’s most recent quarter highlighted its cash-rich balance sheet and low leverage profile. The company reported net sales of $67.31 billion, an 8.3% year-over-year increase, and earnings per share of $4.34, up from $4.04 a year ago. Membership fee income climbed 14%, contributing $1.3 billion in high-margin recurring revenue in the first quarter of fiscal 2026. With a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.19 and a quick ratio of 0.53, Costco maintains ample liquidity to fund growth initiatives and return capital to shareholders without relying on external financing.

2. Institutional Ownership and Insider Transactions

Institutional investors hold over two-thirds of Costco’s shares, underscoring broad professional confidence in the business model. Barlow Wealth Partners increased its stake by 2.2% to 34,452 shares, now its sixth largest position valued at $32.5 million. Vanguard Group, State Street and Geode Capital each lifted their holdings by more than 1% in the past two quarters, while Norges Bank initiated a $5.7 billion position. Meanwhile, insiders sold 9,315 shares totaling $8.55 million over the last 90 days, reducing their aggregate stake to 0.10%—a modest signal that warrants monitoring but not a vote of no confidence given the company’s size.

3. Expansion Strategy and Member Loyalty

Costco operates 921 warehouses worldwide and plans to open a net 28 new locations in fiscal 2026, aiming to eventually add 30+ stores annually, roughly half in North America. Stores opened in fiscal 2025 generated average annualized net sales of $192 million, up 28% versus those opened in fiscal 2023. The membership base reached 81.4 million, with renewal rates of 92.2% in the U.S. and Canada and 89.7% globally. Same-store sales have grown consistently over the past six years, demonstrating resilience through inflationary pressure and consumer headwinds.

4. Legal Challenges and Analyst Sentiment

Costco faces a class-action lawsuit alleging its Kirkland rotisserie chicken contains added preservatives despite 'no preservatives' claims—a reputational risk that could lead to restructuring of in-store marketing. On the institutional research side, 21 analysts rate the stock a Buy, 12 a Hold and one a Sell, yielding a consensus 'Moderate Buy'. Recent upward revisions include an increase in price targets from $1,170 to $1,200 by one firm, while another lowered its target to $1,000. This mix of bullish and cautious views reflects confidence in the company’s fundamentals tempered by valuation considerations.

Sources

FFFFF
+3 more