Cullen Frost Cuts Merck Stake 7% Following Q4 EPS Miss and Dividend Hike
Cullen Frost Bankers trimmed its Merck stake by 7% to 225,581 shares worth $18.93 million. Merck posted Q4 EPS of $1.94 vs. $2.08 expected, raised its quarterly dividend to $0.85 from $0.81, and saw analysts lift price targets as high as $135.
1. Merck Ends Acquisition Talks with Revolution Medicines
Merck & Co. confirmed that it has paused discussions to acquire clinical-stage biotech Revolution Medicines after failing to agree on a valuation for a potential takeover. Sources indicate that the deal could have approached a $30 billion valuation, driven by Revolution’s lead compound daraxonrasib entering Phase 3 trials for pancreatic and non-small cell lung cancer. While Merck has not ruled out resuming negotiations, the decision reflects its discipline in deal sizing and overall focus on prioritizing high-value oncology assets within its R&D pipeline.
2. Institutional Investors Adjust Merck Positions
During the recent quarter, Cullen/Frost Bankers Inc. reduced its holdings in Merck by 7.0%, selling approximately 17,000 shares and lowering its stake to 225,581 shares valued at $18.93 million. In contrast, Charles Schwab Investment Management increased its position by 9.4%, adding 4.6 million shares to reach a total holding worth $4.26 billion, while new entrants DLD Asset Management and Norges Bank each established positions of roughly $2.89 billion and $2.86 billion respectively. Collectively, institutional investors now control over 76% of Merck’s outstanding shares.
3. Quarterly Earnings and Dividend Update
In its most recent quarterly report, Merck delivered earnings per share of $1.94, missing consensus estimates by $0.14, and achieved a net margin of 29.6%. The company declared a quarterly dividend of $0.85 per share, up 5% from the prior payout, representing a $3.40 annualized distribution and a dividend yield of approximately 3.1%. Merck’s return on equity stands at 44.5%, supported by a current ratio of 1.66 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.77, underscoring its strong balance sheet and cash-flow generation.
4. Analyst Ratings and Price Targets
Following the acquisition news and latest results, analysts have updated their outlook for Merck. BMO Capital Markets upgraded the stock to outperform, raising its price target from $82 to $130. Goldman Sachs increased its objective from $92 to $120 with a buy rating, while Scotiabank and Bank of America both lifted targets to $120 and maintained positive sector-outperform views. Wolfe Research moved Merck from peer perform to outperform, setting a target of $135. Collectively, these nine buy ratings, seven holds and two sells imply a consensus target of approximately $114, reflecting mixed sentiment on near-term growth versus long-term pipeline prospects.