Datadog Upgraded to Buy with $175 Target Backed by AI-Driven 27% Growth

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Guggenheim Securities upgraded Datadog to Buy with a $175 target implying roughly 50% upside and forecasted 27% revenue growth to $4.36 billion in 2026 with a 24.5% adjusted operating margin. Analysts highlight 220% growth among AI-native clients adding $160 million and Bits AI suite’s outcome-based monetization potential.

1. Upgrade to Buy Rating

Guggenheim Securities raised Datadog’s rating from Neutral to Buy and set a $175 price target implying roughly 50% upside, prompting a 2.6% pre-market share gain.

2. 2026-2028 Growth Projections

Analysts forecast 27% revenue growth to $4.36 billion in 2026 with a 24.5% adjusted operating margin, about 6% above consensus. They project growth will dip to 20% in 2027 before rebounding to 25% in 2028 as AI-native contributions accelerate.

3. AI-Native Customer Expansion

The upgrade reflects AI-driven demand, highlighting a landmark eight-figure deal—likely with Anthropic—among 650 AI-native clients. These customers are expected to drive 220% year-over-year revenue growth, adding roughly $160 million, while Anthropic’s ARR could top $350 million by 2028 amid delayed OpenAI migration.

4. Moat and Bits AI Monetization Potential

Datadog’s purpose-built Monocle metrics database and Husky event engine reinforce its competitive moat against open-source telemetry tools. The Bits AI suite, which automates incident detection and response, is cited as a potential new monetization lever, possibly via outcome-based pricing.

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