Delta Air Lines Q1 Revenue $14.2B; Fuel Surge to $209/Bbl Slashes Q2 EPS Guidance

DALDAL

Delta Air Lines reported record $14.2 billion Q1 revenue with non-GAAP EPS of $0.64, supported by 62% premium revenue including $2 billion from an American Express partnership. However, jet fuel costs spiked to $209 per barrel, dragging Q2 earnings guidance down to $1.00–$1.50 from last year’s $2.10.

1. Premium Revenue Growth

Delta delivered record Q1 revenue of $14.2 billion and non-GAAP EPS of $0.64, slightly above consensus, as 62% of its income now derives from premium offerings. The American Express partnership alone generated $2 billion this quarter, highlighting the success of its high-margin service strategy.

2. Fuel Cost Surge Impact

Jet fuel prices have jumped from $85–$90 per barrel pre-conflict to $209 per barrel, representing more than a 130% increase in a few months. This spike presents a major headwind, eroding expected operating margins despite strong top-line performance.

3. Q2 Guidance Revision

Delta now forecasts Q2 EPS of $1.00 to $1.50, down nearly 50% from the prior year’s $2.10, reflecting the anticipated impact of elevated fuel expenses. This dramatic cut in earnings outlook underscores the sensitivity of airline profitability to commodity prices.

4. Defensive Measures and Outlook

To mitigate rising costs, Delta plans to keep Q2 capacity flat and has introduced a $10 baggage fee increase to recapture expenses. The company’s ability to maintain premium pricing and manage capacity will be critical to offsetting the fuel surge.

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