Dollar General Underperforms Market, Forecasts Q4 EPS $1.57 on $10.7B Revenue
Dollar General shares rose 1.21% to $146.65, trailing the S&P 500’s 1.97% gain and underperforming the Retail-Wholesale sector’s 1.28% monthly increase. Consensus for Q4 forecasts EPS of $1.57 (–6.55% y/y) on $10.74 billion revenue (+4.26% y/y), with a forward P/E of 20.47 below the industry’s 26.58.
1. Stock Performance
Dollar General shares closed at $146.65, up 1.21% in the latest session, lagging the S&P 500’s 1.97% gain and trailing the Dow’s 2.47% and Nasdaq’s 2.18% advances. Over the past month, the stock has risen 0.63% versus a 1.28% gain for the Retail-Wholesale sector and a 1.49% drop for the S&P 500.
2. Earnings Outlook
The consensus estimate for Dollar General’s fourth-quarter EPS stands at $1.57, reflecting a 6.55% year-over-year decline, while revenue is expected to reach $10.74 billion, up 4.26% from the prior year. For the full year, analysts project EPS of $6.49 (+9.63%) on $42.56 billion in revenue (+4.79%).
3. Valuation and Analyst Sentiment
Dollar General trades at a forward P/E of 20.47, below the Retail-Wholesale industry average of 26.58, and has a PEG ratio of 2.41 versus the sector’s 2.97. The consensus EPS estimate has risen 0.27% over the past month, earning the stock a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy).