Domino's Eyes 9.6% EPS Growth and $1.52B Q4 Revenue Forecast

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Domino's Pizza will report fiscal Q4 results on Feb. 23, with consensus EPS of $5.36 (+9.6% year-over-year) and revenues of $1.52 billion (+4.9%). Analysts’ models project U.S. same-store sales up 1.3% (company) and 2.5% (franchise), international comps up 0.1% and a gross margin of 38.7% (down from 39.2%).

1. Q4 earnings estimates

Domino's Pizza will release fiscal Q4 2025 results on Feb. 23 before markets open, with analyst consensus projecting EPS of $5.36 per share, a 9.6% increase year-over-year, and total revenues of $1.52 billion, up 4.9% from the prior-year quarter.

2. Sales and revenue drivers

Analysts expect U.S. same-store sales growth of 1.3% at company-owned stores and 2.5% at franchised outlets, while international comps are forecast to rise just 0.1%. Growth is attributed to value promotions like Best Deal Ever, menu innovations such as Parmesan Stuffed Crust, expanded carryout offerings and steady gains from digital channels and aggregators.

3. Margin outlook and risks

Models predict a gross margin of 38.7%, down from 39.2% a year ago, as inflationary pressures in commodity and labor costs intensify. A challenging restaurant industry environment and rising input costs may weigh on profitability despite ongoing initiatives like the Domino’s Rewards program and global expansion efforts in markets like India and China.

Sources

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