Driven Brands Sees 6.7% EPS Growth but 18.6% Revenue Decline with Negative ESP

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Driven Brands Holdings is expected to post Q4 EPS of $0.32 per share, up 6.7% year-over-year, on revenues of $459.43 million, down 18.6%. Analysts’ most recent estimates drive an Earnings ESP of -31.25% combined with an analyst rank of #4, reducing odds of an EPS beat.

1. Q4 Earnings Estimates

Driven Brands Holdings is forecast to report Q4 earnings of $0.32 per share, a 6.7% increase from last year. The earnings release is scheduled for February 25, setting a benchmark for performance against analyst projections.

2. Revenue Outlook

Revenue is expected to total $459.43 million, marking an 18.6% decline from the prior-year quarter. This contraction reflects ongoing pressure in the company’s core service segments.

3. Estimate Revisions and ESP

The most recent EPS estimate was lowered below the consensus, producing an Earnings ESP of -31.25%. This, paired with an analyst rank of #4 on a five-point scale, indicates a diminished probability of an earnings surprise.

4. Historical Earnings Surprises

Driven Brands has topped consensus EPS estimates in each of the last four quarters, including a 17.24% surprise in the most recent period. Past outperformance provides context but may not guarantee future results given current headwinds.

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