EIA expects a mixed picture for US households winter fuel costs this year
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USO•The EIA expects households that primarily heat with natural gas or propane to spend less this winter than last, while heating-oil households are expected to pay about 21% more.
About half of US households primarily heat with natural gas or propane, and the EIA expects them to spend less on energy this winter than last. Heating-oil households, about 3% of US homes and mostly in the Northeast, are expected to pay about 21% more.
The EIA forecasts heating-oil prices to rise 30%, partly offset by milder Northeast weather. It expects national winter temperatures to be about the same as last winter and the previous 10-winter average. Natural gas inventories are expected to enter the heating season 2% above the previous five-year average, while East Coast distillate stockpiles were 32% below their five-year seasonal average in September and are forecast to remain 20% to 30% below average through winter.