Energy Vault Sees $152.9M Q4 Revenue and $0.12 Loss With Low Beat Odds

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Energy Vault is forecast to post a $0.12 per-share loss for Q4 2025 on revenues of $152.9 million, reflecting a 356.8% year-over-year sales surge. The unchanged consensus estimate and zero Earnings ESP combined with a Zacks Rank #4 suggest low odds for an EPS beat.

1. Q4 2025 Earnings Estimates

Energy Vault is expected to report a $0.12 per-share loss for the quarter ended December 2025, compared to a year-ago loss of $0.30, while revenues are forecast at $152.9 million, marking a 356.8% increase year over year.

2. Unchanged Consensus and Earnings ESP

Analysts’ consensus EPS estimate has remained static over the past 30 days, resulting in an Earnings ESP of 0%, which indicates no recent revisions that could signal an earnings surprise.

3. Zacks Rank and Beat Probability

The stock carries a Zacks Rank of #4 (Sell), and research shows that when combined with a zero Earnings ESP, the probability of an EPS beat is low.

4. Historical EPS Surprises

Over the last four quarters, Energy Vault has delivered only one positive EPS surprise, including a -60% miss in the most recent quarter when actual EPS was -$0.16 versus a -$0.10 forecast.

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