Ethiopian Airlines Orders Nine Boeing 787-9 Dreamliners, Expanding 2025 Order Backlog
Boeing secured an order from Ethiopian Airlines for nine 787-9 Dreamliner jets, finalized December 2025, boosting Boeing’s order book by 20 fuel-efficient aircraft including 11 737 MAXs. The deal underscores growing demand for long-haul aircraft and reinforces Boeing’s commercial backlog with Africa’s largest airline.
1. Q4 Earnings Preview Highlights Key Drivers and Risks
Boeing is set to report its Q4 results on February 3, with analysts expecting a notable increase in commercial aircraft deliveries following a strong year-end production push. Investors will watch for commentary on the Spirit AeroSystems acquisition, completed in December 2025, which the company estimates could add $2.5 billion in annual revenues once integration is complete. Management’s discussion of ongoing supply-chain constraints—for example, delays in composite materials for the 787 program—will be critical. UBS and Morgan Stanley forecasts suggest that unfinished inventory could weigh on margins by up to 150 basis points in the quarter, even as service revenues climb on a 12% year-over-year increase in aftermarket maintenance activity.
2. UBS Analysts Cite Strengthening 787 Production Momentum
In a January 15 research note, UBS analysts reported that Dreamlifter cargo flights, which transport major 787 structural components, rose 69% year-over-year over the 30-day period ending January 9. This uptick, following a typical holiday slowdown, correlates with an anticipated ramp to eight 787 deliveries per month by mid-2026. UBS projects full-year 2026 commercial deliveries of 775 aircraft, up from 594 in 2025, driven largely by improved supply-chain throughput for the 787 and 737 MAX programs. The analysts also highlighted that factory output in Everett and Charleston has accelerated, with combined production moving 15% faster than the pace seen in Q4 2025.
3. Ethiopian Airlines Order Reinforces Long-Haul Demand
On January 20, Boeing announced an order from Ethiopian Airlines for nine additional 787-9 Dreamliners, finalized in December 2025, bringing the carrier’s backlog to 20 Boeing jets—including 11 737 MAX aircraft. Ethiopian Airlines, which already operates Africa’s largest 787 fleet, plans to deploy the new Dreamliners across its network of 145 international destinations, targeting increased capacity on Europe, Asia and North America routes. Boeing executives noted that the 787’s 25% fuel-efficiency gain over previous generation aircraft aligns with sustainability goals and supports Ethiopian’s strategy to expand long-haul connectivity. This deal underscores robust global demand for the Dreamliner family, which has opened over 520 new nonstop city pairs and carried more than 1 billion passengers since 2011.