ExxonMobil Plans $20 Billion Buyback as $116 Oil Spurs Earnings

XOMXOM

ExxonMobil posted Q4 2025 revenue of $82.31 billion with full-year output of 4.7 million barrels equivalent and unveiled a $20 billion share buyback funded by conservative price assumptions. Brent crude at $116 per barrel—70% above Exxon's planning assumption—means each incremental dollar flows almost entirely to profits, raising free cash flow.

1. Q4 2025 Results and Production

ExxonMobil reported Q4 2025 revenue of $82.31 billion and record full-year production of 4.7 million barrels of oil equivalent per day, reflecting its low-breakeven portfolio and operational efficiencies.

2. $20 Billion Share Buyback and Capex Guidance

The company unveiled a $20 billion share repurchase plan for 2026 while guiding capital expenditures of $27–29 billion, underpinned by conservative commodity assumptions to ensure disciplined investment.

3. Effect of $116 Brent on Earnings

With Brent crude trading at $116 per barrel—70% above Exxon's planning assumption—each additional dollar realized is expected to flow almost entirely to earnings, providing a significant boost to free cash flow.

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