FactSet projects US CPI to rise 4.0% year over year in October 2026
SPY•FactSet projects US CPI will rise 4.0% year over year in October 2026, up from 3.7% in September. Core CPI is projected to increase 2.8%, with the Bureau of Labor Statistics scheduled to release the data on November 10.
1. October inflation forecast
FactSet projects October 2026 US CPI will rise 4.0% year over year, compared with September’s 3.7% increase and a trailing 12-month average inflation rate of 3.2%. Core CPI, excluding food and energy, is projected to increase 2.8% year over year.
2. Estimates and release date
Four CPI estimates range from 3.9% to 4.0%, a 10-basis-point spread, compared with a 46-basis-point spread over the trailing 12 months. The US Bureau of Labor Statistics will release October CPI data on November 10.
