Farmer Mac Q4 EPS Falls 18.6% Short, Revenue Up 6.6% to $107.9M

AGMAGM

Federal Agricultural Mortgage reported fourth-quarter adjusted EPS of $3.66, missing consensus by 18.6%, while revenue rose 6.6% year-over-year to $107.9 million, narrowly beating estimates by 0.4%. Shares have declined approximately 1% year-to-date and 12% over the last 12 months.

1. Q4 Earnings Results

Federal Agricultural Mortgage posted adjusted EPS of $3.66 for the quarter, missing consensus by 18.6% against expectations of $4.50. On an unadjusted basis, net income was $47.9 million or $3.71 per share.

2. Revenue Performance

Revenue reached $107.9 million, a 6.6% increase from $101.3 million a year earlier, and beat estimates by 0.4%. This marks the fourth consecutive quarter of topping consensus revenue forecasts.

3. Share Performance

Shares have fallen about 1% year-to-date and nearly 12% over the past 12 months, underperforming the broader market. Investor sentiment may be influenced by the sizable EPS miss and modest revenue beat.

4. Outlook and Industry Context

Analysts project $4.44 EPS on $107.1 million revenue next quarter and $19.41 EPS on $450.7 million revenue for the fiscal year. The Financial – Mortgage & Related Services industry ranks in the bottom quartile, potentially capping sector momentum.

Sources

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