Forestar Group Shares Break Above 200-Day MA, Citigroup Lifts Target to $38

FORFOR

Forestar Group’s shares crossed above their 200-day moving average of $25.87, trading as high as $26.36 on volume of 218,296 shares. Citigroup raised its price target from $36 to $38, while the company reported Q4 EPS of $0.30, beating estimates by $0.09 on $273 million revenue.

1. Stock Surpasses 200-Day Moving Average

Forestar Group’s shares closed above their 200-day moving average of $25.87 on Friday, marking the first time since early November that the mid-cap home-site developer has cleared this technical threshold. Trading volume reached 218,296 shares, roughly 20% above the 30-day daily average, suggesting increased investor interest in the stock’s technical breakout.

2. Analyst Ratings and Price Targets

Seven brokerages have recently weighed in on the company, with four assigning a Buy-equivalent rating and three issuing Holds. Citigroup lifted its price objective from $36.00 to $38.00, while JMP Securities maintained a $35.00 target. Citizens JMP also raised its target to $35.00, and Wall Street Zen adjusted its recommendation from Buy to Hold. Based on MarketBeat data, the consensus target stands at $32.40, implying roughly 25% upside from current levels.

3. Recent Earnings and Financial Metrics

In its January earnings release, Forestar reported quarterly EPS of $0.30, outperforming the consensus estimate of $0.21 by 43%. Revenue came in at $273.0 million, a 9.0% increase year-over-year and above analyst expectations of $265.5 million. The company posted a net margin of 9.9% and a return on equity of 9.8%. For the full year, analysts project EPS of 3.44, reflecting steady profitability in its lot development operations.

4. Institutional Investor Activity

Institutional ownership stands at 35.5%. During the third quarter, Swedbank AB boosted its position by 400%, adding 400,000 shares valued at $13.3 million. Harel Insurance Investments & Financial Services established a new stake worth $2.0 million, while Dimension Capital Management initiated a position of $1.5 million. In the second quarter, CWM LLC expanded its holdings by 588%, acquiring nearly 13,000 additional shares.

Sources

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