FWONA falls as F1 Bahrain and Saudi cancellations cut 2026 earnings outlook

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Liberty Media’s Formula One tracking stock (FWONA) is sliding as investors reprice 2026 earnings after Formula 1 canceled the Bahrain and Saudi Arabian Grands Prix. Analysts have modeled roughly a $70 million adjusted OIBDA hit from the lost events, pressuring the stock today.

1. What’s moving the stock

Liberty Media Corporation’s Formula One tracking stock (FWONA) is down about 3.4% in Friday trading as markets digest the financial fallout from Formula 1’s cancellation of the Bahrain and Saudi Arabian Grands Prix. With the 2026 calendar reduced and no replacement events planned, investors are marking down expectations for race-promotion revenue and related event-driven income streams tied to the two lost rounds. (apnews.com)

2. Earnings impact in focus

The selling pressure follows analyst commentary that the cancellations could create roughly $70 million of downside to 2026 adjusted OIBDA versus prior expectations, reflecting the operating leverage embedded in the race calendar. That framework has become a key reference point for near-term trading in FWONA as investors calibrate how much of the lost revenue can be mitigated through contractual protections or cost offsets. (investing.com)

3. What to watch next

Key swing factors now include whether the series ultimately finds a way to reschedule the events later in the year, whether any commercial terms are renegotiated to soften the hit, and whether Liberty provides updated financial expectations as the 2026 season progresses. For context, Liberty recently reported full-year 2025 F1 revenue of about $3.9 billion and adjusted OIBDA of about $946 million, underscoring how incremental calendar changes can still matter to annual profitability at the margin. (libertymedia.com)