Global Markets-Stocks rattled by AI CEO warnings; oil and bonds add to gloom

Government bond yields, which posted their worst weekly performance since mid-May last week, edged higher. Yields on benchmark 10-year Treasuries US10YT=RR are on the verge of hitting 5%, the most since 2023, while German 10-year yields DE10YT=RR topped 3.53% to reach their highest since 2009. Markets also imply around a 76% chance the Bank of Japan will lift its cash rate by a quarter point, to 1.25%, when it meets on Friday and is expected to signal further tightening could take place as it struggles to support the yen, after market intervention helped to pull it from a 40-year low. 0#JPYIRPR The dollar rose 0.6% to 154.46 yen JPY=EBS, having fallen around 4% over the last two weeks and away from a July peak of 163.99. The euro was 0.54% lower at $1.1535 EUR=EBS. Brent futures LCOc1 were last up 2.5% at $107.18 a barrel, having gained almost 9% last week. Prices for diesel, gasoline and jet fuel are all far higher than they were before the war, meaning a direct hit for consumers. In Europe, the STOXX 600 .STOXX was down 0.3% as gains in oil and gas stocks were offset by losses in tech, which were swept lower after the concerns expressed in a letter by Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei, echoed by Elon Musk, who runs xAI, and Sam Altman, CEO of OpenAI. For markets, the immediate risk is that of a slowdown in the billions of dollars being spent on the AI boom, particularly after Altman also said his company would not proceed with an IPO this year, citing safety concerns. "This is a highly unusual unified message from a group of tech CEOs, and it is weighing on the AI trade this morning," XTB research director Kathleen Brooks said. "Is this warning about AI a sign that hyperscaling AI compute and infrastructure has reached its endpoint? If so, this will have massive repercussions for financial markets, and it could also lead to a sharp selloff in chip stocks and other components of the AI trade at the start of the new trading week." S&P 500 futures ESc1 fell 0.7%, while Nasdaq futures NQc1 fell 1.7%, reflecting the premarket slide in shares of AI staples such as Marvell MRVL.O, Intel INTC.O and Micron MU.O, which fell between 4.5% and 5.7%. Tech-heavy markets in Asia, such as Tokyo and Seoul, fell between 1% and 3%. Friday's U.S. consumer inflation report came in hotter than expected and traders now attach a near-90% chance of the Federal Reserve raising rates on Wednesday, in what would be its first hike since mid-2023. The European Central Bank raised rates last week and indicated more may follow if inflation picks up. "There's been no real equity-market drama in the face of 5% yields and high oil prices. But, clearly, one thing we have to add to the mix is that if the disruption in Hormuz continues, we’re going to have to add a couple of hikes by central banks, which is what the market is pricing," Lombard Odier chief economist Samy Chaar said. "The Fed is more impatient than it was, and central banks are more impatient than they were, the ECB included. They're not just going to let time do its work. They want to get ahead of it," he said. Global stocks fell on Monday, driven lower by a slide in AI shares, as investors were unnerved by another surge in the oil price ahead of likely interest-rate hikes in the United States and Japan this week. AI-linked shares took an added hit after the leaders of OpenAI and Anthropic called for a slowdown in development to manage risks and protect humanity. Brent climbed almost 3% as new strikes on Saudi Arabia and on ships in the Gulf strained nerves, after an attack on a Saudi oil pipeline, while a meeting in Oman between Iran and Gulf Arab states, scheduled for Monday to discuss a deal on opening the Strait of Hormuz, was postponed.

Global Markets-Stocks rattled by AI CEO warnings; oil and bonds add to gloom

Bond yields rise and the yen weakens

Oil prices surge while tech stocks weaken

Inflation data lifts Fed hike expectations

Global stocks fall as AI and oil worries mount

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