Hershey Forecasts Q4 Earnings Beat, Debuts $29.99 Jolly Rancher Heat Wave Gummies
Hershey forecasts an earnings beat for its upcoming Q4 report, citing strong sales mix and operational efficiencies. The company will launch Jolly Rancher Heat Wave Gummies with VeeFriends on Feb. 11, 2026, selling collector’s boxes at $29.99 to tap into the spicy candy trend.
1. Earnings Beat Poised on Strong Snack Portfolio
Hershey’s fourth-quarter report is expected to exceed consensus EPS estimates of $1.85, driven by 8% year-over-year revenue growth in North America confectionery and mid-single-digit growth internationally. Management cited improved mix from premium chocolate brands, where unit margins expanded 120 basis points sequentially in Q3, and a 15% jump in holiday gifting sales. Analysts note Hershey’s pricing initiatives offsetting commodity inflation—cocoa costs fell 5% in the quarter—while SG&A leverage from higher volumes should lift operating margin by roughly 70 basis points to about 23.5%. With roughly 65% of sales in confectionery and 35% in snacks, investors will watch whether SkinnyPop and Dot’s Pretzels maintain double-digit growth and contribute to overall mid-teens organic net sales growth.
2. Technical Signal Supports Short-Term Upside
From a chart standpoint, Hershey recently cleared its 20-day moving average after testing support near its 50-day line. This crossover, accompanied by rising relative strength index (RSI) readings above 55, suggests a short-term bullish trend. Average daily volume over the past month climbed 12%, indicating renewed buying interest among momentum traders. If the stock holds the 20-day level through the earnings release, it could provide a technical springboard for further gains, especially if management’s guidance for 2026 margins and free-cash-flow conversion exceeds street forecasts of 15% and $1.8 billion, respectively.