HF Sinclair Eyes Q4 EPS Beat with +1.24% Earnings ESP

DINODINO

HF Sinclair enters its February 18 Q4 report with a Zacks #3 ranking and an Earnings ESP of +1.24%, based on a $0.45 Most Accurate EPS estimate versus a $0.44 consensus. Analysts have also provided top-and-bottom-line projections and forecasts for refining throughput and production volumes for the quarter.

1. Zacks Ranking and Earnings ESP Details

HF Sinclair holds a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) with a Most Accurate EPS estimate of $0.45 for Q4, compared to a consensus $0.44, resulting in an Earnings ESP of +1.24%.

2. Analyst Projections for Q4 Key Metrics

Analysts have set top-and-bottom-line forecasts for the quarter ended December 2025, including revenue projections and detailed estimates for refining throughput and upstream production volumes.

3. Historical Performance of Positive ESP Stocks

Historically, combining a positive Earnings ESP with a Zacks Rank #3 or stronger has yielded a 70% rate of upside earnings surprises and roughly 28% average annual investor returns over the past decade.

4. Upcoming Q4 Earnings Release Date

HF Sinclair is scheduled to release its Q4 results on February 18, 2026, setting the stage for potential volatility based on its ESP signal and updated management guidance.

Sources

FZ