Hilton Projects Q4 EPS of $2.00 and 7.3% Revenue Growth to $2.99B

HLTHLT

Analysts forecast Hilton Worldwide’s Q4 EPS at $2.00, up 13.6% year-over-year, and revenue at $2.99 billion, a 7.3% gain. Management fees are expected to rise 12.8% to $92.5 million and franchise fees 10.2% to $707.4 million, while owned hotel revenue falls 5.5% to $314.6 million.

1. EPS and Revenue Outlook

Wall Street analysts predict Hilton Worldwide will report Q4 earnings of $2.00 per share, reflecting a 13.6% year-over-year increase. Revenue is forecast at $2.99 billion, marking a 7.3% rise compared to the prior-year quarter.

2. Fee-Based Revenue Breakdown

Projected fee-based revenues show strength, with base and other management fees estimated at $92.53 million (up 12.8%) and franchise and licensing fees at $707.42 million (up 10.2%). Other revenues are seen climbing 16.1% to $61.54 million, while incentive management fees dip 1.2% to $84.99 million.

3. Owned Hotels and Cost Reimbursement

Revenues from owned and leased hotels are expected to decline 5.5% to $314.63 million, offset by cost reimbursement revenues forecast to rise 9.5% to $1.74 billion. Analysts note the mix shift reflects stronger fee streams versus property-level performance.

4. Property Metrics and RevPAR

Total system-wide rooms are projected at 1.35 million (up from 1.27 million last year), with managed rooms reaching 263,226. Revenue per available room (RevPAR) is forecast at $110.57, a slight 0.3% increase versus $110.33 in Q4 2024.

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